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Myanmar Military, MNDAA Agree to China-Brokered Ceasefire

A man looks on at homes destroyed after air and artillery strikes in Mung Lai Hkyet displacement camp, in Laiza, Myanmar, Tuesday Oct. 10, 2023. (AP Photo, File)

Minority Watch— Myanmar’s military and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) have formalized a ceasefire effective Saturday, January 18, halting clashes near the Chinese border, according to China’s foreign ministry, as cited by Reuters.

The agreement was brokered in Kunming, China, where both sides acknowledged Beijing’s role in facilitating peace. “We hope all parties maintain the momentum of ceasefire and peace talks, de-escalate tensions, and resolve issues through dialogue,” said foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning on Monday, January 20, 2025.

This is the second such ceasefire in just over a year; a previous deal in January 2024 collapsed due to violations by both sides. The MNDAA, an ethnic Chinese rebel group and part of the Three Brotherhood Alliance, has been fighting to repel the military from northeastern territories. Alongside the Ta’ang National Liberation Army and the Arakan Army, the alliance seized significant areas in late 2023, advancing toward Mandalay.

China, Myanmar’s key ally, has strategic stakes in the conflict, including stability along its 2,000-kilometer border. Beijing’s concerns about regional instability have grown as anti-junta forces gain ground, threatening investments and trade.

“Stabilizing northern Myanmar serves the interests of all regional stakeholders and promotes border security and development,” Mao Ning added.

The MNDAA’s continued offensive, including the capture of a major military base last July, highlights the fragility of ceasefire efforts. Analysts warn that China’s influence will be tested as it seeks to sustain peace in Myanmar’s volatile northern regions.

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